Margaret
Thatcher will be lionised by many when she is laid to rest. The Iron
Lady, inspiration perhaps for Kenya's Martha Karua, changed the face of
British politics and international relations. Thatcherism became a
byword for making hard choices as and when needed, even when those
choices ended in a lot of pain a a lot of people. In her foreign policy,
however, are lessons for Kenya's brand new administration. She used he
close relationship with Ronald Reagan to sustain British influence in
world affairs at a time when the decline of Great Britain was being
accelerated by economic woes and labour troubles as well as IRA
terrorism.
Uhuru Kenyatta assumes the presidency at a time when
Kenya is attempting to square the circle of low revenues against huge
development priorities, especially in education, healthcare and
infrastructure. Until the Chinese came calling with open wallets and a
no-questions asked attitude, Kenya was at the mercy of the diktats from
mandarins of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund. Its
participation in the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade talks, that
morphed into the World Trade Organisation talks, Kenya was constrained
in its dealings even with its neighbours because of the strings attached
to all the money it had borrowed or all the agreements it had signed
with the United States, the United Kingdom, or the European Union.
When
Mwai Kibaki began the long and arduous task of disentangling Kenya's
messed up finances, his Look East policy was a shrewd calculation that
even a wholesome embrace of the Chinese Dragon would not push away
Kenya's traditional Western development partners. When Uhuru Kenyatta
finally demonstrated that he had the capacity to mount a credible
presidential bid, despite his indictment at the ICC, Kenya's development
partners, save for those in Asia and Africa, were aghast. The United
Kingdom led the charge with its waffling talk of "essential contacts"
while the United States piled in with its warnings of "consequences".
William Ruto captured the mood of the people when he celebrated our
peculiarities; instead of heeding the wise counsel of the West, we not
only ignored them, but not only elected Uhuru Kenyatta and his ICC
co-indictee as president and deputy president, we supported the Supreme
Court when it upheld their election and asked the losers, especially
Raila Odinga, to let it go and move on.
Mr Kenyatta faces tougher
challenges than providing 800,000 free laptops to Standard One children
in 2014. While Mwai Kibaki finally managed to turn around the economy
and lay the foundation for future prosperity, job-creation is woefully
low, economic growth is only in upper reaches of the middle classes and
the wealthy, and the quality of essential public services such as
healthcare and education continues to be a continental embarrassment.
His challenge lies in not only ensuring the continued inflow of Chinese
direct investment in infrastructure, but also keeping the West on-side
in terms of technology transfer and a sympathetic ear in the halls of
global institutions such as the United Nations Organisation, the IMF and
the World Bank. He should chart a largely independent line when it
comes to future revenue policies; if he allows them to be dictated by
the West, the Structural Adjustment Programmes of the '90s will seem
like a cakewalk. If he allows Chinese investments to raise the inflation
rate, he'll have a balance of payments crisis on his hands that coupled
with increasingly high cost of living that may lead to civil
instability. He must temper his enthusiasm for domestic public spending
with one for expanding manufacturing, exports of finished goods,
increased food production and value addition for commercial crops. It is
one of the ways that he can keep both the West and the Chinese in their
proper places.
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